Will Biden overtake Trump’s lead in the next NYT/Siena poll?
38
116
Ṁ665Ṁ720
Jun 1
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In the next New York Times/Siena poll, following the April 7 - 11th one, will Biden be ahead of Trump when asked: If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Joe Biden and Donald Trump?
For Biden to overtake Trump, his number must be strictly higher than Trump’s. Ties Resolve NO.
In April the results were:
Trump: 46%
Biden: 45%
See related markets about the April Siena poll:
Get Ṁ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of May?
35% chance
538: Will Joe Biden take the lead in the national polls jn May 2024?
34% chance
Will Joe Biden win the first debate against Donald Trump?
53% chance
Will Trump outlive Biden?
61% chance
Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden?
61% chance
Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of September?
55% chance
Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden?
57% chance
Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of October?
53% chance
Will Trump beat Biden in every New York Times/Sienna national poll before election day?
21% chance
At the end of September will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?
40% chance