Resolves yes if the US federal government makes it broadly illegal to share sexually explicit images generated by AI without the subject's consent, before the end of 2025.
I'm not a lawyer and don't have a rigid definition of what kind of ban would count, but this will resolve based on the common sense spirit of the question.
I will not trade in this market.
See also:
1,000
3.00I hope this doesn't happen. Nobody is actually being harmed, and given that the government hasn't even charged anyone involved with the Genesis scam, they aren't going to charge some random guy in Kansas for sharing a picture.
Plus, by the time this actually matters, a real nude image will have no value because the person pictured in it will just be able to claim it is AI-generated. AI will cause a reversion back to before the Internet, when it was rare for people to face consequences for images like this. But if someone criminalizes sharing of fake images, then that works against the plausibility deniability argument.
@ShakedKoplewitz I think most scenarios in which this resolves yes would be a new law, but I could imagine other things like the supreme court making a ruling about this or the president passing some sort of executive action so I don't want to say it 100% has to be a new law. But it probably does, I don't think those other things are very likely.
Do you mean a law that covers AI generated images specifically?
Because it can be illegal in some contexts already - publishing them while implying they are real might be considered libel, using them commercially would likely be infringing on the right of personality.
Do you mean making it a federal crime enforced by FBI or other federal agencies?
If a federal judge finds it illegal using existing more general laws, does it resolve yes?
Or do you need congress to vote a specific law for that?
Note: AFAIK there already is some case being investigated by FBI using existing more general federal laws, but no judgment nor sentence yet (?).