
Trick question: ChatGPT will have correctly predicted the outcome of this market at 42% (with 7% error margin)
59
1kṀ5051resolved Feb 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question was generated by ChatGPT. I took the liberty to simplify it just a bit. More details below.


This market will resolve as follows:
If on Feb 1st the market is trading in the range of 35-49%, the market will resolve to NO
If the market is above 49%, it will resolve to NO as well
If the market is below 35%, it will resolve to YES
Now figure out a strategy to make profit here!
P.S.
Just to make the idea more transparent.
35-49% is technically below 50% so it will resolve to NO for correct people to profit.
Below 35% will resolve to YES so people who downvoted too much end up losing Mana. And the other way around, if it’s above 50%, resolving to NO will make people who upvoted too much lose.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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