Trick question: ChatGPT will have correctly predicted the outcome of this market at 42% (with 7% error margin)
59
1kṀ5051
resolved Feb 1
Resolved
YES

The question was generated by ChatGPT. I took the liberty to simplify it just a bit. More details below.

This market will resolve as follows:

  • If on Feb 1st the market is trading in the range of 35-49%, the market will resolve to NO

  • If the market is above 49%, it will resolve to NO as well

  • If the market is below 35%, it will resolve to YES

Now figure out a strategy to make profit here!

P.S.

Just to make the idea more transparent.

35-49% is technically below 50% so it will resolve to NO for correct people to profit.

Below 35% will resolve to YES so people who downvoted too much end up losing Mana. And the other way around, if it’s above 50%, resolving to NO will make people who upvoted too much lose.

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