In 2024, will China introduce new export tariffs on rare earth elements?
47
155
Ṁ2kṀ1.7k
2025
48%
chance
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1M
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This market is part of the Humans v Bots Battle 2024, where AI forecasters will duke it out on the most important world questions of 2024. Can you beat the bots and snag part of the 250,000 Mana (~$2.5k) prize?
China has a history of using export tariffs as a tool to achieve political and economic goals, including in the rare earth industry, and this could be a major play in the ongoing trade wars, and have an affect on the budding AI and clean energy geopolitical conflicts.
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