What won't happen by EoY 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
49
227
Ṁ5.3kṀ1.6k
2026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
87%
Ukraine joins Nato
82%
Evergrande liquidation completed
56%
Donald Trump becomes US president again
53%
A previously unrecognized country receives its first recognition by a UN member state.
46%
Officially supported Netflix app releases for the Apple vision pro
37%
Taylor Swift becomes engaged to be married
33%
Earthquake magnitude 8.0 or higher
15%
GPT-5 released
Inspired by @strutheo's monthly/yearly megamarkets, but with a slight twist; answers will resolve 'NO' as they happen, and 'YES' at the end of 2025 if they haven't happened yet.
Expect my policy around resolutions and N/A's to be roughly in line with strutheo's, though I might be a bit more lenient wrt joke answers. We'll see, this market will be around for a while.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
@BrunoParga I dunno, thought it might be interesting to do an inverse market, see if framing it differently affects how people bet. I'm hoping it won't lead to too much confusion, perhaps I should have just done a more typical 'what will happen by' market
More related questions
Related questions
5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the poll asking if it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024 actually reach 500 responses by EOY 2024?
20% chance
📆What will happen in 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
🌭What will happen in July 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
🦃What will happen in November 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
☃️What will happen in December 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
🏖️What will happen in August 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
👟Which athletes will still be competing at a similar level or higher at EOY 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]
🎃What will happen in October 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]