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TikTok Ban

Ṁ100k
What will be the status of TikTok in the US on April 1st 2025?
100%99.0%
Usable by the public and owned by ByteDance
0.6%
Usable by the public and not owned by ByteDance
0.2%
Completely banned in the US
0.1%
Restricted in the US and owned by ByteDance
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Ṁ100k
Ṁ5k
TikTok Ban Endgame: Which will happen first?
85%
TikTok will be sold to a non-Chinese company
6%
None of these will happen by EOY 2028
4%
TikTok will become unavailable in Apple/Google app stores in the US for at least 30 days
4%
The TikTok "ban" will be rendered unenforceable by courts (with little chance of appeal/overturn)
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Ṁ5k
NPR
House approves sell-or-be-banned TikTok measure, attaching it to foreign aid bill
The bill, now advancing to the Senate, represents the most serious threat yet to the video app used by half of Americans.
Ṁ11k
If the TikTok "ban" bill passes, will its enforcement be blocked by courts?
NO
Ṁ11k
Ṁ3.2k
If the TikTok ban takes effect, will ByteDance divest it OR shut it down in the U.S?
36%
Divest it
64%
Shut it down
Ṁ3.2k
Just a moment...
Ṁ8k
Which company will buy TikTok? (resolves only if/when divested from China)
20%20%
Silver Lake
20%20%
MGX
20%20%
Oracle
20%16%Other
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Ṁ8k
Would the world be a better place without TikTok?
POLL
Yes
No
Ṁ1k
At EOY 2025, will ByteDance own the American version of TikTok?
YES
Ṁ1k
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