MANIFOLD
US Politics
AI
News
Browse
About
App
Sign in
Dark
Light
(auto)
Prize Markets
Sama Drama
LO/Manifest
Israel
Trump Convicted
Trump VP
OpenAI
Trump vs Biden
UK Election
Twitter
Netanyahu
Campaign Promises
Biden Nominee?
xAI
ACX 2024
US '24 Endorsements
NBA Playoffs
76th Emmy Awards
One Piece
Starship Launch
CNN Debate
"Not-E3" Game News
Lantern Bioworks
WWDC 2024
Taylor Swift
Polling
Close Races
WEWHF
TikTok Ban
Legal Weed
Music AI Race
TV Props
Hard Forkasts
Life in 2040
2024 Hurricane Season
Politics & AI
Manifold AI
Newsweek
Donald Trump raises red flag on AI: "So scary"
Former President Donald Trump called AI maybe "the most dangerous" thing out there.
Scott Alexander
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
45%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
AI
#
ACX
#
Politics
1722
Ṁ5.5k
Semiotic Rivalry
Will a specific AI image or video model be mentioned by anyone in a presidential debate in 2024?
38%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Trump
#
US Politics
#
2024 US Presidential Election
26
Ṁ1k
~deleted~
Will the left/right culture war come for AI before the end of 2024?
23%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
AI Culture War
#
Culture War
#
AI
163
Ṁ1.5k
Matthew Barnett
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States? (please read criteria)
34%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
AI
#
US Politics
#
Politics
2735
Ṁ6.9k
Vox
President Biden’s new plan to regulate AI
Now comes the hard part: Congress.
Arky
In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?
42%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Politics
#
AI risk
#
AI Impacts
50
Ṁ1k
Nathan Scott ♠︎
If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
64%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Politics
#
US Politics
#
2024 US Presidential Election
46
Ṁ6.7k
Nathan Scott ♠︎
If Biden is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
73%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Joe Biden
#
Politics
#
US Politics
40
Ṁ6.6k
Semiotic Rivalry
Will Xi Jinping publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
18%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
AI Impacts
#
China
#
AI
19
Ṁ1k
See more questions:
Politics
News
Browse
About
Sign in