25
Ṁ1.8kṀ1k
2026
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Xi would have to say something like "AI extinction risk is plausible and worth worrying about."
By "AI extinction risk," I mean the possibility of AI systems being largely responsible for the death of all humans.
Resolves according to my judgment, although I'm very open to hearing arguments.
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Just to be sure, it would have to be him in particular saying this, with direct reliable audio/video evidence or some statement officially attributed to him for the market to resolve YES, and e.g. an official document or communication from the government that does not attribute the concern directly to him personally (even if paraphrased) would resolve as NO, correct?
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