2022 US Midterms Tournament

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Manifold is sponsoring a US Midterms tournament with a $1,000 USD prize pool. Show off your political forecasting skills, and win real USD if you're correct

How to Participate

1. Follow our 2022 US Midterms group

2. Predict on its markets and climb the leaderboard

Rules

The intent of this tournament is to reward individuals who are best at predicting the outcome of the 2022 Midterms.

1. USD prizes will be awarded to the top 10 traders on the leaderboard in proportion to profit earned in this group (excluding members of the Manifold team).

2. Only 1 account per person can trade in this market.

3. Don't collude with other people to inflate your or their profits.

   • E.g. don't transfer money to your friends account via betting a market artificially high/low and having them correct it.

4. All forms of trading are allowed (including API, limit orders).

5. Manifold reserves the right to modify rules, exclude participants, and other changes necessary to abide by the spirit of this tournament.

Forecasts

See state by state breakdown here