For markets relating to Manifold stuff on other social media and forums.

Mostly a place to contain regular posts I will share showcasing where Manifold Markets has been mentioned or discussed on the internet. 

About post for the group

Manifold in the Wild

SirSalty

1) Drama surrounding Nathan Young's "fraud markets".

Context: After the FTX implosion, many felt betrayed by SBF and many EAs were quite self-critical at how no one saw it coming. In response to this, Nathan created a group of markets about influential people and if any would be exposed as fraudsters in an honest attempt to reduce the possibility of the SBF shock being repeated.

https://manifold.markets/group/scandal-markets

(may have to filter by resolved to see those which were cancelled).

Scott Alexander semi-jokingly mentioned them

 which led to people taking them far too seriously leading to criticism on Twitter and 

Nathan, although sincere with his original intent of using them as a creative way to hold powerful people accountable, quickly cancelled these markets in case they reflected poorly on EA.

2) Destiny community crashes Manifold Markets.

A slight over-exageration, but some of the intense live-trading on "permanent stocks" done in the 

https://www.reddit.com/r/Destiny/comments/yudv3x/dan_stocks_are_crashing_the_market/

We have since made improvements to improve the processing of high volume trading on a market, but Destiny viewers can hold a badge of pride that they temporarily broke a market.

3) Destiny community creates a real-time market tracker.

https://www.reddit.com/r/Destiny/comments/ywseun/i_updated_a_chart_that_tracks_destinygg_orbiters/

Check out this awesome creation by u/IDoStuff132. It takes permanent stocks from the Destiny group and lets you choose which ones you want to see plotted on a real-time tracker!

4) Analysis of Manifold's performance forecasting the midterms

A writeup comparing Manifold to other forecasting site's performance: 

https://mikesaintantoine.substack.com/p/scoring-midterm-election-forecasts?sd=pf

Hope you enjoyed! I'm planning to write these more regularly than our newsletter and they will likely contain a mix of fun stuff/memes I see created about Manifold too. If you enjoyed this you should definitely make sure you are 

 (will have a decent amount of content cross-posted but often with more in-depth discussion than what I anticipate these posts to look like).

Summary of Manifold Markets being discussed on the web.

Manifold in the Wild 17/11/22

Adrian

Cornelius Grass

Orpheus

the pasemi

Cooley

#	Name	Profit
1	Adrian	Ṁ345
2	Cornelius Grass	Ṁ231
3	Orpheus	Ṁ109
4	the pasemi	Ṁ88
5	Cooley	Ṁ39
6	arae	Ṁ29
7	Katja Grace	Ṁ23
8	Aht	Ṁ23
9	Phillip Constantine	Ṁ11
10	Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot	Ṁ10
11	Ethan	Ṁ9
12	Arjun Panickssery	Ṁ7
13	Mad software developer	Ṁ6
14	JuniorBotBot	Ṁ3
15	Andrew Conner	Ṁ2
16	James	Ṁ2
17	Ziquafty Nny	Ṁ2
18	John Roxton	Ṁ0
19	tinytitan	Ṁ0
20	tcheasdfjkl	Ṁ0
21	Eugen Grue	Ṁ0
22	Paul Hobbs	Ṁ0
23	Neon Nuke	Ṁ0
24	Ma Ga	-Ṁ3
25	badabean	-Ṁ3
26	Antonius H	-Ṁ10
27	Sophia Laird	-Ṁ10
28	Arthur S	-Ṁ10
29	ren budde	-Ṁ10
30	Daniel Kogler	-Ṁ10
31	chimericCreation	-Ṁ17
32	TisHoudini	-Ṁ30
33	Marnus Beylefeld	-Ṁ40
34	Sjlver	-Ṁ43
35	Ocharray	-Ṁ100

#	Name	Number of traders
1	S G	33
2	SirSalty	4

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