Will the FDA ban xylitol before 2030?

Question

A new paper found that artificial sweetener xylitol is associated with cardiovascular risk, possibly due to enhanced platelet activity.

Derek Lowe has commentary here: https://www.science.org/content/blog-post/and-now-xylitol

The same research group published a similar result last year for another sugar alcohol, erythritol.

Related markets:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/zQ4Z82W/will-the-fda-ban-erythritol-before)(https://manifold.markets/embed/zQ4Z82W/will-the-fda-ban-any-sugar-alcohols)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 17% chance (10 traders, as of Oct 17, 2026).