Will the FDA ban erythritol before 2028?

Question

A recent study found that erythritol (a commonly used sugar substitute) is strongly associated with major adverse cardiovascular events, possibly due to enhanced platelet activity.

Derek Lowe has commentary here: https://www.science.org/content/blog-post/trouble-erythritol

Related markets:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/zQ4Z82W/will-the-fda-ban-erythritol-before-l9fo30e0vz)(https://manifold.markets/embed/zQ4Z82W/will-the-fda-ban-any-sugar-alcohols)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 8% chance (14 traders, as of Oct 17, 2026).