Will California decriminalize psilocybin mushrooms before 2027?

Question

Resolves YES if California decriminalizes or fully legalizes the possession and personal use of psilocybin mushrooms.

If a law is passed before 2027 that doesn't go into effect until 2027 or later, this market will still resolve YES.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 2% chance (37 traders, as of Oct 11, 2026).