Resolves YES if Nikki Haley wins the most delegates in at least one state during the 2024 Republican presidential primaries. Resolves NO otherwise.

The source of the official delegate count will be the Republican National Committee (RNC), and any disputes about the delegate count will be resolved based on the RNC's official statements.

Winning at least one state is a proxy for her being a promising contender in the Republican primaries.

Context: All-in podcast, E110, “2023 Bestie Predictions!”

Chamath Palihapitiya: “[Who do you predict will be the big political winner of 2023?] I am going to go long Nikki Haley. And I'm going to go short Ron DeSantis. (…) People are getting exhausted with the lunatic fringes of both parties. (…) So if I think about a moderate person who can emerge from the back, who can consolidate the ranks, they should probably be from the south. They will have a lot of these purple compromises that Sacks mentioned in their policy program, and they will have a history of winning and a history of normalcy. And so I think that of all of the places where you could ever elect a woman as President of the United States, I think it will come from the Republicans before it comes from the Democrats. I mean, the Democrats are unfortunately increasingly judgmental. And I think it's very difficult for a woman to emerge there. But I do think that Nikki Haley has a shot.”