Will Max Verstappen score more poles than Perez does P3+ in 2024?

Question

Every qualifying result where Max scores P1 counts for Max. Every qualifying result where Perez scores P3 or better counts for Perez. Will Max outscore Perez?

All qualifying sessions count. Penalties for driver conduct (eg laps deleted) count but demotions for things like exceeding part limits post quali do not count.

Tally as of 6/6: Max: 7 Perez: 3

After round 17 in Baku: Max: 8 P1s, Perez: 5 P3 or better.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Nov 24, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.