Gemini 3.0 released before October 25?

Question

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public. "Before October 25" does not include October 25.

To resolve Yes, the model must be accessible to some members of the public, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. An API-only release counts, as is one limited to payed users or users of a particular country.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Oct 25, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.