Will element 119 “Ununennium” be discovered before 2030?

Question

Resolves YES if any author in a peer-reviewed scientific journal announces the successful synthesis of any nuclei with 119 protons by direct or indirect detection.

Any synthesis before 2030 only applies to this market if it is announced before 2030.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 45% chance (7 traders, as of Nov 2, 2026).