If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?

Question

Resolves only if someone kills an AI researcher, AI company founder, or similar, in order to protest AI development, create fear to scare people away from AI development, or similar.

Resolves YES if afterwards, AI xrisk people are generally considered dangerous and struggle to get their message out. Since this is kind of vague and vibes-based, I will not bet. I may choose to resolve this market based on a poll of AI alignment researchers after the fact.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 32% chance (98 traders, as of Mar 16, 2026).