What will become of Jimmy Cherizier by the end of 2024?

Question

Resolves to his status on Dec 31, 2024; If, for example, he becomes a member of the new Haitian government in the interim but dies before the year ends, this would resolve only to dead.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Remains only a gang leader in Haiti, followed by Other and Dead are most likely. See the market for live updates (4 traders, as of Dec 31, 2024).