Which teams that have never made the NCAA men's March Madness Basketball bracket will be in it before the end of 2030?

Question

As of this question posting in 2024:

School 	CONFERENCE

Army 	Patriot

Bethune-Cookman 	SWAC

Cal Baptist 	WAC

Central Arkansas 	ASUN

Chicago State 	Independent

The Citadel 	SoCon

Denver 	Summit League

Elon 	CAA

High Point 	Big South

Incarnate Word 	Southland

Kansas City 	Summit League

Maine 	America East

Maryland Eastern Shore 	MEAC

Merrimack 	NEC

New Hampshire 	America East

NJIT 	America East

North Alabama 	ASUN

Omaha 	Summit League

Presbyterian 	Big South

Purdue Fort Wayne 	Horizon League

Quinnipiac 	MAAC

Sacramento State 	Big Sky

Sacred Heart 	Northeast

SIUE 	Ohio Valley

South Dakota 	Summit League

UC Riverside 	Big West

UMass Lowell 	America East

USC Upstate 	Big South

UT Martin 	Ohio Valley

UTRGV 	WAC

Utah Valley 	WAC

Western Illinois 	Summit League

William & Mary 	CAA

Youngstown State 	Horizon League

*Bellarmine, Le Moyne, Lindenwood, Queens, Southern Indiana, Stonehill, St. Thomas, Tarleton State, Texas A&M–Commerce, UC San Diego and Utah Tech are not eligible for the 2024 tournament, as they are still completing the transition into DI.

Link: https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/bracketiq/2024-03-17/march-madness-tracking-teams-have-never-made-ncaa-tournament

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Chicago State, followed by Bethune-Cookman and Elon are most likely. See the market for live updates (9 traders, as of Mar 20, 2026).