Resolves yes if, by the end of 2029, Apple officially announces that it will release a car. This does not require that the car be released or available by that date.

https://manifold.markets/TatianaSurver/will-apple-announce-the-launch-of-a?referrer=JoelSteadman

https://www.macrumors.com/roundup/apple-car/

Acceptance criteria: Apple publicly announces some car model (rather than some sort of add-on that can be added to any car) under their brand that is purchasable by consumers. 

Apple relying on another manufacturer for most of the engineering, but brands it as partially their own. Resolves YES

The car is basically just an existing model with some Apple modifications (like how Nike has the Apple Watch Nike) resolves YES only if it has some actual difference from the normal model and it is branded as Apple’s by Apple

The car exists but is not publicly released resolves NO