Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engagement announced in 2026?

Question

This market will resolve to YES if both Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet publicly confirm an engagement at any point between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM PT).

A qualifying public engagement announcement includes any one of the following:

A direct statement or post from either individual on a verified social media account explicitly confirming an engagement

A joint public announcement (interview, red carpet statement, official spokesperson confirmation) clearly stating they are engaged

Coverage by multiple major media outlets citing confirmation from the couple or their representatives

The market will resolve to NO if no such confirmation occurs within the specified time window.

Clarifications

Engagement rumors, speculation, or paparazzi photos alone do not count

Wearing rings without explicit confirmation does not count

Marriage without a prior public engagement announcement does not retroactively qualify unless the engagement is explicitly confirmed

Breakups, reconciliations, or private engagements that are never publicly confirmed do not count

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 37% chance (14 traders, as of May 3, 2026).