Harris wins 2028 election?

Question

Resolution Criteria: The market resolves to "Yes" if Kamala D. Harris is declared the winner of the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election by the Electoral College and certified by Congress. If she is not, it resolves to "No."

Resolution Date & Time: Early January 2029, after Congress certifies the election results, likely on or around January 6, 2029, by 23:59 PST.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 3% chance (133 traders, as of Nov 5, 2026).