The market resolves based on the exact set score of the Australian Open 2026 men's singles final between Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic on Sunday, February 1 at Rod Laver Arena. Resolution will be determined by official ATP Tour records and major sports databases (ESPN, ATP Tour official site). The match will resolve to one of the six possible outcomes based on the final set score, with the winner determined by best-of-five sets. If the match ends early due to injury or does not otherwise take place, the market will resolve "N/A".

Djokovic defeated defending champion Jannik Sinner 3-6, 6-3, 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 in four hours and nine minutes, while Alcaraz beat third seed Alexander Zverev in the third-longest Australian Open match ever - 6-4, 7-6(5), 6-7(3), 6-7(4), 7-5 in five hours and 27 minutes. The 22-year-old Alcaraz is aiming to become the youngest player to complete the Career Grand Slam, while the 38-year-old Djokovic, the most decorated men's Grand Slam champion in history, seeks to become the oldest champion in tournament history. This will mark their third Slam final encounter, having met in the Wimbledon final in 2023 and 2024, both of which were won by Alcaraz.