Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years?

Question

Resolves Yes if the second coming of Jesus Christ happened within the next 100 years (before the end of 2124)

Resolves No if the second coming of Jesus Christ did not happen before the end of 2124

A second coming of Jesus Christ, as described in the Bible, should include:

1. Physical Return of Jesus Christ
Matthew 24:30: "Then will appear the sign of the Son of Man in heaven. And then all the peoples of the earth will mourn when they see the Son of Man coming on the clouds of heaven, with power and great glory."

Acts 1:11: "'Men of Galilee,' they said, 'why do you stand here looking into the sky? This same Jesus, who has been taken from you into heaven, will come back in the same way you have seen him go into heaven.'"

2. Judgment on all nations:

Matthew 25:31-32: "When the Son of Man comes in his glory, and all the angels with him, he will sit on his glorious throne. All the nations will be gathered before him, and he will separate the people one from another as a shepherd separates the sheep from the goats."

3. Resurrection and Rapture

1 Thessalonians 4:16-17: "For the Lord himself will come down from heaven, with a loud command, with the voice of the archangel and with the trumpet call of God, and the dead in Christ will rise first. After that, we who are still alive and are left will be caught up together with them in the clouds to meet the Lord in the air. And so we will be with the Lord forever."

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 4% chance (15 traders, as of Apr 11, 2026).