Will Russia successfully remove Ukrainian troops from Kursk region by end of year?

Question

Resolves YES if Ukraine controls <10 km² of Kursk oblast for 1 week continuously.

Resolution source will be https://x.com/Pouletvolant3 or consensus of other credible mappers.

[image]Current state as of Aug 11

Update 2024-27-12 (PST): - The required 1-week continuous control by Ukraine does not need to occur before the end of the year. (AI summary of creator comment)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Dec 31, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.