Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?

Question

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies” by Eliezer Yudkowsky & Nate Soares appears on any weekly New York Times Best Sellers list (any category, including Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction, Hardcover Nonfiction, or Audio Nonfiction) on a list published after this market opens and before it closes. Evidence: the title listed on the relevant NYT weekly page.

Example list pages: https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/combined-print-and-e-book-nonfiction/ • https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/hardcover-nonfiction/ • https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/audio-nonfiction/

If the book is already on a list the week this market opens, the next distinct weekly appearance counts as “again.”

I won’t be trading on this market. The above resolution criteria are AI-generated; they might be clarified or changed as the market progresses.

Being in a NYT bestseller list that is not published on the NYT website doesn’t count towards the resolution.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 8% chance (54 traders, as of Apr 22, 2026).