If Donald Trump is elected US President in 2024, will the US see 3% or higher GDP growth in 2025?

Question

Figures according to the World Bank.

If he is not elected, this market will resolve N/A.

Note: This market closes on Election Day.

See also:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/milanw/if-joe-biden-is-elected-us-presiden)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 58% chance (14 traders, as of Jul 25, 2024).