Will there be an Israel:Hezbollah ceasefire before there’s an Israel:Hamas one? 🇮🇱🤝🇱🇧🇵🇸

Question

Context: U.S. Pushes Cease-Fire in Lebanon as Netanyahu Says Israel Will Fight On

Resolves YES if there is an at least 24hour (agreed-upon) cessation of fighting between Israeli and Lebanon/Hezbollah before such a pause in fighting in Gaza/against Hamas begins. Ties, joint ceasefires on both fronts, will Resolve NO.

If either war ends, after 24hours this will qualify as a ceasefire. War ending will be determined by the conflicts listed as a non-Ongoing status on Wikipedia: Hezbollah, Hamas.

Market will extend as needed.

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Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Dec 31, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.