Will there be a movie theatre on the moon by 2050? 🎥🍿🌝

Question

Resolves YES if there is a building on the moon which functions primarily as a movie theatre, with routine screen times before 2050. Resolves NO on January 1st, 2050 otherwise.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 14% chance (23 traders, as of Mar 7, 2026).