Will Prize Point Balances be larger than Mana Balances at any point in 2024?

Question

As per https://manifold.markets/stats

Resolves YES if anyone has a screenshot of Prize Points Balance being higher than Mana Balance, even if only instantaneously/from a spike.

At time of posting:

[image]A single person varient:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/mattyb/will-someone-have-100000-spice-this)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 11% chance (11 traders, as of Jul 26, 2024).