Will Sam Mendes’ Beatles Tetralogy come out as planned?

Question

Context: Four Beatles Biopics in the Works From Sam Mendes

Will The Beatles movies come out as planned? This means the following must be true (according to the article):

Sam Mendes is still attached to the projects as director.

The Beatles movies will be released as 4 individual films, each focusing on a single Beatle.

They all come out in 2027.

John, Paul, George, and Ringo will be the subject of individual feature films, set for 2027

Each of the Beatles will be the subject of his own biopic in a new Sam Mendes tetralogy set for 2027—the first scripted Beatles films with rights to the band’s life stories and music catalog. Mendes, the director of American Beauty, Skyfall, and 1917, conceived the project and will direct the four movies, one from each band member’s point of view; Paul McCartney, Ringo Starr, and the families of John Lennon and George Harrison authorized the films.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 9% chance (6 traders, as of Jul 22, 2026).