Will Elon Musk die a billionaire?

Question

According to the Forbes list, will Elon Musk’s net worth be >=$1B at his time of death?

Elon must be dead for 24hours for this to Resolve, to lessen the hoax risk.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 90% chance (35 traders, as of Aug 11, 2026).