Will Donald Trump do better than he did in 2020?

Question

In 2020, Donald Trump got 232 electoral college votes. In 2024, will he do better?

Resolves YES if:

Donald Trump is the Republican nominee and earns 233 or more electoral college votes.

Resolves NO if:

Donald Trump is not the Republican nominee.

Donald Trump earns 232 or fewer electoral college votes.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Nov 7, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.