Will any of Trump’s trials end in a hung jury?

Question

Donald Trump has 4 criminal trials coming up:

Jan 6th case

GA election case

Classified documents case

Manhattan hush money case

Will any of them end with a hung jury? If Trump gets another conviction, that will not count for purposes of this market. We’re only talking about the four aforementioned trials.

Market will extend as needed.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 2% chance (29 traders, as of Feb 3, 2026).