[Polymarket-linked] Will Ukraine hit Moscow or the Crimean Bridge before October (3.0)?

Question

This is fusing two Polymarkets: Ukraine strike on Moscow before November? and Crimean bridge hit before November?

This market will Resolve YES if Ukraine hits Moscow, or anyone hits the Crimean Bridge before November. If either Polymarket Resolves YES, this market will Resolve YES as well.

It should be noted that there have been a few of these markets now:

[markets]Moscow Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces strikes Moscow municipality, or any target within the municipality, between September 29 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.

Bridge Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Crimean Bridge (Kerch Bridge) is the subject of a kinetic strike between September 29 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Missile/drone strikes which are shot down or don't hit the bridge will not be considered for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Nov 1, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.