Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?

Question

Will there be a general consensus among economists that markets significantly overvalued AI companies at any point during this decade?

This market will close early and resolve as YES if there is clear evidence of a bubble before the resolution date. It will resolve as NO if there is still no clear evidence of an AI valuation bubble by the resolution date.

Related Markets

(https://manifold.markets/embed/marnet/will-there-be-an-ai-bubble-in-2023)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 58% chance (98 traders, as of Jun 24, 2026).