Will nuclear energy be a relevant topic in Germany's election 2025?

Question

Germany shuts down its last nuclear power plants today (April 15). Lindner (FDP), Merz (CDU), and Söder (CSU) called for extensions instead. Was this just rhethorics or an actually topic they want to press further long-term?

Germany's next federal election is October 2025. The CDU and Merz are currently leading the polls.

Resolves NO, if the topic of nuclear power plants in Germany is forgotten and not relevant in the election campaign. Discussions about importing nuclear power are not relevant for this market.

Resolves YES, if it is a relevant discussion topic between parties during the election campaign to turn nuclear power plants on again or build new ones. For example, if it comes up as a question in a tv debate between candidates for chancellors, it surely is a YES.

I'm aware that "relevant" is ambiguous but I'm not sure how to clarify that. If only a single small party (e.g. FDP) mentions it in their manifesto it is not sufficient for a YES because that will surely be dropped when a actual government is formed. Feedback welcome!

Update: Important aspects are if a Wahl-O-Mat question will be about nuclear energy and if nuclear energy will be a relevant topic in a tv duell.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Feb 22, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.