Eliezer Yudkowsky has (I believe) expressed that he believes there is a >95% likelihood that the outcome of deploying transformative artificial intelligence results in doom. Would he then press a button that ensured there was a 95% probability of doom due to the deployment of transformative artificial intelligence?

This market resolves YES if Eliezer Yudkowsky places a YES bet on this market, and NO if he places a NO bet. It will resolve N/A if he has not bet on this market by Jan 01 2024.

I am going to avoid providing a definition of doom in case it creates loopholes for resolution, and just use "whatever Eliezer Yudkowsky thinks doom is" instead. 