Will AI wipe out Raccoons before the year 2030?

Question

If raccoons are still around on Jan 1, 2030, then this market resolves to NO.

If raccoons are not around but AI(s) are then this market resolves to YES.

If neither humanity nor AIs are around then this market does not resolve.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 3% chance (21 traders, as of Oct 9, 2025).