https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sleeping_Beauty_problem

Resolves to whichever position I find the most convincing at market close after having considered and engaged with all arguments posted. (I will only respond to arguments that I think will add anything to the discussion)

I will not bet in this market or share with anyone what my current position is. However, I will play devil's advocate for all positions in the comment section in response to arguments.

In case of disagreement on definitions I will decide on the definitions that seems the most reasonable to me after having considered people's arguments.