This market resolves NO on September 12, 2022 (or as soon as possible afterwards if I forget on that day).

Meta comment: This is another "what is the risk free interest rate" market, specifically to compare against markets like these markets:

None of them are entirely risk-free (e.g. author might misresolve, or author might get hit by a bus leaving the market abandoned unresolved), so the question is about how much different types of risk empirically matter to market participants, and also how much price manipulation of the market participants impacts them.