Will Gazans displaced following Israel's evacuation orders be allowed back to Northern Gaza by EOY 2024?

Question

Will Gazans who fled to the south as a result of the Israeli evacuation orders be allowed back to Northern Gaza (e.g. Gaza City) by January 1st, 2025?

Question resolves positively if a major news outlet (e.g. AP, BBC, CNN, Reuters) confirms at least 100,000 Gazans (out of those displaced by the evacuation orders issued after October 7th, 2023) have been allowed to return, are in the process of returning, or have returned to the homes they abandoned following the evacuation of Northern Gaza by the first day of 2025.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jul 27, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.