Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?

Question

According to their constitution, the Rresident of Argentina serves for four years, with a possibility of immediate reelection for one more term.

This market will resolve YES, if the next elected president of Argentina (elections on October 22, 2023) serves full term and his presidency ends with normally scheduled elections.

Otherwise, this market will resolve NO.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 93% chance (107 traders, as of Jul 4, 2026).