Who will win the next presidential elections in Poland?

Question

This is the market about the winner of the next presidential elections in Poland, scheduled for 2030.

The reelection of Nawrocki is included.

[image]

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Nawrocki AGAIN, followed by Other and Rafał Trzaskowski are most likely. See the market for live updates (16 traders, as of Feb 25, 2026).