Napoleon Bonaparte (NO) v Adam Smith (YES)

'adam':5 'bonapart':2 'napoleon':1 'smith':6 'v':4 'yes':7

'euler':2 'jesus':5 'leonhard':1 'v':4 'yes':6

Abraham Lincoln (NO) v Albert Einstein (YES)

'abraham':1 'albert':5 'einstein':6 'lincoln':2 'v':4 'yes':7

Mohandas K. Gandhi (NO) v Nelson Mandela (YES)

'gandhi':3 'k':2 'mandela':7 'mohanda':1 'nelson':6 'v':5 'yes':8

'alan':5 'isaac':1 'newton':2 'ture':6 'v':4 'yes':7

Richard Feynman (NO) v Norman Borlaug (YES)

'borlaug':6 'feynman':2 'norman':5 'richard':1 'v':4 'yes':7

'confucius':1 'da':5 'leonardo':4 'v':3 'vinci':6 'yes':7

Charles Darwin (NO) v John Von Neumann (YES)

'charl':1 'darwin':2 'john':5 'neumann':7 'v':4 'von':6 'yes':8

This market is for the Sweet 16 of Manifold's G.O.A.T. tournament, to determine who advances to the Elite 8. The purpose of this series of markets is to determine who Manifold thinks is the "Greatest of All Time" (G.O.A.T.).

Each market will be determined by the greater number of individual holders of either YES or NO at market close. For example, if the market is Winston Churchill (NO) v Pierre-Simon Laplace (YES), Winston Churchill will win if there are 8 individual NO holders, and 7 individual YES holders at the time of market close.

Bot trades do not count towards determining winners.

I will settle any ties, and am happy to offer my opinion on any matchups before the market closes. I am also willing to consider any arguments for/against a contestant before making my decision.

Most markets will run from Sunday-Saturday. The Final Four and Championship will run over Summer Camp and Manifest.

The scheduled close date for each market of the contest is at 11:59PM CST on the below dates:

You can also bet on who will be the overall winner of the G.O.A.T. tournament: