When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?

Question

People seem pessimistic about it happening in 2024, so I've opened a new market with more options to better gauge expectations. (previous market: https://manifold.markets/gpt4/will-openai-announce-ai-robots-in-2)

Resolution criteria is the same (I'll consider the market resolved as "yes" when OpenAI releases a demo of a physical robot utilizing their technology, akin to their previous unveilings of ChatGPT, DALL-E, and SORA.)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Not before 2027, followed by 2026 and 2025 are most likely. See the market for live updates (53 traders, as of Mar 9, 2026).