Will anti-aging treatments developed, approved and available for public usage by 2040?

Question

Anti-aging or age reversal technology is already being researched and there are multiple breakthroughs recently. When do you think this will be a viable treatment?

Criteria:

Update: proposal to change criteria to Xprize healthspan competion.

Update: proposal to change the criteria to

1- a treatment that slows aging significantly (2x+ slower)

2- a treatment that reverses aging one time (making patients 10y+ younger) this should be measurable through DNA aging. (telomers/DNA damage/non-functional cell percentage in tissues etc)

3- a treatment that slow-reverses aging

any one of the above will count.

Treatments like skin care; or that make your body feel more energetic etc will not count. Living longer through healthy choices was always an option.

Connected poll:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/ftkurt/would-you-exchange-your-retirement)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 40% chance (42 traders, as of Jul 11, 2025).