Global energy-related CO2 emissions grew by 1.1% in 2023 (IEA)

, increasing 410 million tonnes (Mt) to reach a new record high of 37.4 billion tonnes (Gt).

China alone grew around 565 Mt. China's growth was greater than the rest of the world's decrease but 

This market will resolves based on IEA's numbers when released based on the actual change in CO2 emissions between the two years, no matter what extraordinary event (like COVID) may happen each year.

I have created the same market for 2024 and 2025, hope it helps adjust your bets!