Who will win the 2030 Polish presidential election?

Question

Resolves to the winner of the 2030 Polish presidential election.

If no presidential election is held in Poland in 2030, this market will resolve to "No one".

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Karol Nawrocki, followed by Other and Radosław Sikorski are most likely. See the market for live updates (16 traders, as of Feb 28, 2026).